Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.390438 0.427180 0.466400 0.511476 0.561966 0.616905 0.681384
2026-01-11 0.331628 0.383163 0.441963 0.514420 0.601857 0.704661 0.835706
2026-01-18 0.296550 0.355316 0.425441 0.516101 0.631389 0.774702 0.968868
2026-01-25 0.272578 0.336180 0.414856 0.520626 0.661091 0.844093 1.105372
2026-02-01 0.247708 0.312671 0.395394 0.510211 0.668261 0.882449 1.202254
2026-02-08 0.232180 0.299335 0.387155 0.512707 0.691455 0.942938 1.335008
2026-02-15 0.216826 0.284699 0.375533 0.508812 0.704313 0.988769 1.450043
2026-02-22 0.205534 0.274527 0.368886 0.510788 0.724973 1.046917 1.589526
2026-03-01 0.193115 0.261794 0.357517 0.504615 0.732337 1.084742 1.699841
2026-03-08 0.181642 0.249574 0.345898 0.496882 0.736150 1.116615 1.802979
2026-03-15 0.169242 0.235222 0.330169 0.481558 0.726393 1.125083 1.865665
2026-03-22 0.164550 0.231833 0.330365 0.490714 0.756470 1.201922 2.059650
2026-03-29 0.159189 0.227228 0.328566 0.496780 0.782332 1.274829 2.257846
2026-04-05 0.153443 0.221705 0.324991 0.499668 0.803000 1.340649 2.451788
2026-04-12 0.147886 0.216124 0.320915 0.501290 0.821367 1.403787 2.648881
2026-04-19 0.143359 0.211871 0.318636 0.505658 0.844791 1.478463 2.880772
2026-04-26 0.136179 0.203035 0.308423 0.495605 0.840914 1.499964 2.999800
2026-05-03 0.132013 0.198807 0.305491 0.498014 0.860318 1.569130 3.236271
2026-05-10 0.126951 0.192864 0.299359 0.494255 0.867543 1.614151 3.423172
2026-05-17 0.123277 0.189008 0.296504 0.496162 0.885801 1.683752 3.680366
2026-05-24 0.118436 0.182988 0.289634 0.490203 0.887892 1.718958 3.857008
2026-05-31 0.113637 0.176828 0.282216 0.482737 0.886295 1.745847 4.016395
2026-06-07 0.107899 0.168850 0.271263 0.467940 0.868503 1.734849 4.072905